How does monetary policy affect inflation
Expansionary policy is traditionally used to try to combat unemployment in a recession by lowering interest rates in the hope that easy credit will entice businesses into expanding.
This is done by increasing the money supply available in the economy. Expansionary policy attempts to promote aggregate demand growth. As you may remember, aggregate demand is the sum of private consumption, investment, government spending and imports.
Monetary policy focuses on the first two elements. By increasing the amount of money in the economy, the central bank encourages private consumption. Increasing the money supply also decreases the interest rate, which encourages lending and investment. The increase in consumption and investment leads to a higher aggregate demand.
It is important for policymakers to make credible announcements. If private agents consumers and firms believe that policymakers are committed to growing the economy, the agents will anticipate future prices to be higher than they would be otherwise. The private agents will then adjust their long-term plans accordingly, such as by taking out loans to invest in their business. A central bank can enact an expansionary monetary policy several ways. The primary means a central bank uses to implement an expansionary monetary policy is through open market operations.
Commonly, the central bank will purchase government bonds, which puts downward pressure on interest rates. The purchases not only increase the money supply, but also, through their effect on interest rates, promote investment. Because the banks and institutions that sold the central bank the debt have more cash, it is easier for them to make loans to its customers.
As a result, the interest rate for loans decrease. Businesses then, presumably, use the money it borrowed to expand its operations. This leads to an increase in jobs to build the new facilities and to staff the new positions. The increase in the money supply is inflationary, though it is important to note that, in practice, different monetary policy tools have different effects on the level of inflation. Another way to enact an expansionary monetary policy is to increase the amount of discount window lending.
The discount window allows eligible institutions to borrow money from the central bank, usually on a short-term basis, to meet temporary shortages of liquidity caused by internal or external disruptions. Decreasing the rate charged at the discount window, the discount rate, will not only encourage more discount window lending, but will put downward pressure on other interest rates. Low interest rates encourage investment. Bank of England Interest Rates : The Bank of England the central bank in England undertook expansionary monetary policy and lowered interest rates, promoting investment.
Another method of enacting a expansionary monetary policy is by decreasing the reserve requirement. All banks are required to have a certain amount of cash on hand to cover withdrawals and other liquidity demands.
By decreasing the reserve requirement, more money is made available to the economy at large. Monetary policy is can be classified as expansionary or restrictive also called contractionary. Restrictive monetary policy expands the money supply more slowly than usual or even shrinks it, while and expansionary policy increases the money supply.
Business cycle : Restrictive monetary policy is used during expansion and boom periods in the business cycle to prevent the overheating of the economy. Contractionary policy attempts to slow aggregate demand growth. By decreasing the amount of money in the economy, the central bank discourages private consumption. Decreasing the money supply also increases the interest rate, which discourages lending and investment.
The higher interest rate also promotes saving, which further discourages private consumption. The decrease in consumption and investment leads to a decrease in growth in aggregate demand. If private agents consumers and firms believe that policymakers are committed to limiting inflation through restrictive monetary policy, the agents will anticipate future prices to be lower than they would be otherwise.
The private agents will then adjust their long-term strategies accordingly, such as by putting plans to expand their operations on hold. A central bank can enact a contractionary monetary policy several ways.
The central bank can issue debt in exchange for cash. This results in less cash being in the economy. Because the banks and institutions that purchased the debt from the central bank have less cash, it is harder for them to make loans to its customers. As a result, the interest rate for loans increase. Businesses then, presumably, have less money to use to expand its operations or even maintain its current levels.
This could lead to an increase in unemployment. The higher interest rates also can slow inflation. Consumption and investment are discouraged, and market actors will choose to save instead of circulating their money in the economy. Effectively, the money supply is smaller, and there is reduced upward pressure on prices since demand for consumption goods and services has dropped.
Another way to enact a contractionary monetary policy is to decrease the amount of discount window lending. A final method of enacting a contractionary monetary policy is by increasing the reserve requirement. Due to this belief, most central banks pursue a slightly inflationary monetary policy to safeguard against deflation.
Most modern central banks target the rate of inflation in a country as their primary metric for monetary policy. If prices rise faster than their target, central banks tighten monetary policy by increasing interest rates or other hawkish policies.
Higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive, curtailing both consumption and investment, both of which rely heavily on credit. Likewise, if inflation falls and economic output declines, the central bank will lower interest rates and make borrowing cheaper, along with several other possible expansionary policy tools. As a strategy, inflation targeting views the primary goal of the central bank as maintaining price stability.
All of the tools of monetary policy that a central bank has, including open market operations and discount lending, can be employed in a general strategy of inflation targeting. Inflation targeting can be contrasted to strategies of central banks aimed at other measures of economic performance as their primary goals, such as targeting currency exchange rates , the unemployment rate, or the rate of nominal Gross Domestic Product GDP growth.
Contemporary governments and central banks rarely ever print and distribute physical money to influence the money supply , instead relying on other controls such as interest rates for interbank lending.
There are several reasons for this, but the two largest are: 1 new financial instruments, electronic account balances and other changes in the way individuals hold money make basic monetary controls less predictable; and 2 history has produced more than a handful of money-printing disasters that have led to hyperinflation and mass recession.
The U. Federal Reserve switched from controlling actual monetary aggregates , or number of bills in circulation, to implementing changes in key interest rates, which has sometimes been called the "price of money. When interest rates rise, for example, savers can earn more on their demand deposit accounts and are more likely to delay present consumption for future consumption.
Conversely, it is more expensive to borrow money, which discourages lending. Since lending in a modern fractional reserve banking system actually creates "new" money, discouraging lending slows the rate of monetary growth and inflation. The opposite is true if interest rates are lowered; saving is less attractive, borrowing is cheaper, and spending is likely to increase, etc.
In short, central banks manipulate interest rates to either increase or decrease the present demand for goods and services, the levels of economic productivity, the impact of the banking money multiplier and inflation.
However, many of the impacts of monetary policy are delayed and difficult to evaluate. Additionally, economic participants are becoming increasingly sensitive to monetary policy signals and their expectations about the future.
There are some ways in which the Federal Reserve controls the money stock; it participates in what is called "open market operations," by which federal banks purchase and sell government bonds. Buying bonds injects new dollars into the economy, while selling bonds drains dollars out of circulation. So-called quantitative easing QE measures are extensions of these operations. Additionally, the Federal Reserve can change the reserve requirements at other banks, limiting or expanding the impact of money multipliers.
Economists continue to debate the usefulness of monetary policy, but it remains the most direct tool of central banks to combat or create inflation. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Federal Reserve. Fiscal Policy. Instead, it is related to real interest rates—that is, nominal interest rates minus the expected rate of inflation. In the first case, the real or inflation-adjusted value of the money that the borrower would pay back would actually be lower than the real value of the money when it was borrowed.
Borrowers, of course, would love this situation, while lenders would be disinclined to make any loans. Remember, the Fed operates only in the market for bank reserves. Because it is the sole supplier of reserves, it can set the nominal funds rate. Also, in general, the Fed has stayed out of the business of setting nominal rates for longer-term instruments and instead allows financial markets to determine longer-term interest rates.
Long-term interest rates reflect, in part, what people in financial markets expect the Fed to do in the future. Researchers have pointed out that the Fed could inform markets about future values of the funds rate in a number of ways.
For example, the Fed could follow a policy of moving gradually once it starts changing interest rates. Or, the Fed could issue statements about what kinds of developments the FOMC is likely to focus on in the foreseeable future; the Fed even could make more explicit statements about the future stance of policy.
For example, a decrease in real interest rates lowers the cost of borrowing; that leads businesses to increase investment spending, and it leads households to buy durable goods, such as autos and new homes. This may increase spending, especially by smaller borrowers who have few sources of credit other than banks.
Lower real rates also make common stocks and other such investments more attractive than bonds and other debt instruments; as a result, common stock prices tend to rise. Households with stocks in their portfolios find that the value of their holdings is higher, and this increase in wealth makes them willing to spend more.
Higher stock prices also make it more attractive for businesses to invest in plant and equipment by issuing stock. In the short run, lower real interest rates in the U. This leads to higher aggregate spending on goods and services produced in the U. It also boosts consumption further because of the income gains that result from the higher level of economic output.
Wages and prices will begin to rise at faster rates if monetary policy stimulates aggregate demand enough to push labor and capital markets beyond their long-run capacities. In fact, a monetary policy that persistently attempts to keep short-term real rates low will lead eventually to higher inflation and higher nominal interest rates, with no permanent increases in the growth of output or decreases in unemployment.
As noted earlier, in the long run, output and employment cannot be set by monetary policy. In other words, while there is a trade-off between higher inflation and lower unemployment in the short run, the trade-off disappears in the long run.
For example, suppose the Fed eases monetary policy.
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